China as Prince of Denmark

Analysis by Walden Bello*
January 20, 2010

Like Hamlet, Shakespeare’s conflicted Prince of Denmark, China was caught between conflicting currents in Copenhagen. Its failure to manage these challenges, argues columnist Walden Bello, led to its biggest diplomatic debacle in years. In many accounts, President Barack Obama comes across either as a figure who valiantly tries to rescue a doomed conference or as a well-meaning head of state whose hands are unfortunately tied by the realities of US politics. As the villain of the continuing climate drama, Washington has been replaced in much of the media by Beijing . China did make mistakes in Copenhagen , but the media portrayal of it as the spoiler of the climate change negotiations is neither accurate nor fair. Like Hamlet, Shakespeare’s conflicted Prince of Denmark, China was caught in multiple crosscurrents in Copenhagen . Its failure to manage these led to one of its biggest diplomatic setbacks in years.

The British J’accuse

In the immediate aftermath of the talks, Ed Miliband, Britain’s secretary of energy and climate change, charged that China vetoed an agreement on a 50 percent global reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 or on 80 percent reductions by developed countries “despite the support of a coalition of developed and the vast majority of developing countries.”

Many climate activists would probably have taken Miliband’s statement as simply part of the blame game after the controversial ending of a critical conference had it not been seconded--and in detail--by Mark Lynas of the Guardian, a British newspaper that is usually critical of the policies of Washington, London, and other northern governments. Lynas described the scene at a key Friday night meeting of selected countries as the clock raced to the conclusion of the conference:

This account of a relatively low-ranking Chinese official vetoing the naming of unilateral cuts offered by heads of northern countries is indeed shocking. But there’s something the Guardian piece neglects to mention: the meeting was one of several unofficial meetings with a small number of countries that Obama had called, apparently with the support of host Denmark, in order to impose a deal on the climate conference, and the drafting of the declaration was, in fact, a violation of an agreed-on conference process.

Where China Went Wrong

Where China went wrong was not so much in opposing the listing of the emission numbers but in agreeing to attend these covert caucuses where Obama and a small group of other heads of state sought to unilaterally draft a declaration. China undoubtedly knew that these meetings, which included the leaders of selected northern countries as well as those of Brazil , South Africa , and India – undermined the UN process. In the days leading up to Copenhagen, China had heard its allies in the developing world expose and denounce a covert effort by Denmark to convoke a parallel conference of over 20 countries to push through an unauthorized “Danish text” that advanced a climate agenda favored by the developed countries.

More ono :
Foreign Policy in Focus http://www.fpif.org/articles/china_the_prince_of_denmark

UNFCCC Press Briefing on Copenhagen Outcome

UNFCCC Executive Secretary Yvo de Boer gave a press conference today to sum up the outcomes of the Copenhagen climate change meeting with the following remarks:It is fair to say that Copenhagen did not produce the full agreement the world needs to address the collective climate challenge. That only makes the task more urgent. The window of opportunity to come grips with the issue is closing at the same rate as before.

But although COP15 wasn’t a full success, it produced three key outcomes. First, it raised climate change to the highest level of government, which ultimately is the only level at which it can be resolved. Second, the Copenhagen Accord reflects a political consensus on the long-term, global response to climate change. Third, negotiations away from the cameras brought an almost full set of decisions to implement rapid climate action near to completion.


We’re now in a cooling off period that gives useful and needed time for countries to resume their discussions with each other.
Copenhagen set out to deliver an agreement on four essential areas: medium-term emission cuts by industrialised countries; action by developing countries to limit the growth of their emissions; finance to implement action; and an equitable governance of the climate regime.

Those issues remain as relevant as they were before Copenhagen. If countries follow up Copenhagen’s outcomes calmly, with eyes firmly fixed on the advantage of collective action, they have every chance of completing the job.”
more on http://unfccc.int/files/press/news_room/statements/application/pdf/unfccc_speaking_notes_20100120.pdf

Climate Change Negotiation Illustration



by Creative commons DIPLO Foundation

How it is very complex and challenging..

-sb-

Obama official: UN should be sidelined in future climate talks

America sees a diminished role for the United Nations in trying to stop global warming after the "chaotic" Copenhagen climate change summit, an Obama administration official said today.

Jonathan Pershing, who helped lead talks at Copenhagen, instead sketched out a future path for negotiations dominated by the world's largest polluters such as China, the US, India, Brazil and South Africa, who signed up to a deal in the final hours of the summit. That would represent a realignment of the way the international community has dealt with climate change over the last two decades.


The Guardian, Thursday 14 January 2010

The First Test of Copenhagen Accord on Jan 31st!

The Guardian: Jan 15, 2010
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2010/jan/14/climate-change-us-envoy-copenhagen

The next few weeks will be critical in deciding whether the Copenhagen accord succeeds in halting global warming, America's top climate change envoy said today. "We have an accord that is lumbering down the runway, and we need it to get enough speed so it can take off," Todd Stern, the state department climate change envoy, told an investor meeting at the United Nations in his first public remarks after the Copenhagen summit. "We need to get this up and running."


He said the next year would be critical in fleshing out the details of an accord that - because of the chaos and acrimony surrounding the talks - was only 12 paragraphs long. The first test arrives on 31 January when industrialised countries and the major developing nations make their formal commitments to act on carbon emissions.

Snubbed In Copenhagen, EU Weighs Climate Options

Stunned by being sidelined in the endgame of the Copenhagen world climate summit, the European Union is debating how to regain influence over the fight against global warming.

Should the world's largest trading bloc and economic area respond to the policy setback and the diplomatic humiliation of the bare-minimum Copenhagen accord by playing Mr Nice, Mr Nasty, Mr Persistent or Mr Pragmatic?

Since the EU looks unlikely to wield either a bigger carrot or a bigger stick, it is left with more mundane options: improving its negotiating methods; working more actively with China and other emerging powers, and with the United States; and meeting its own reductions targets.

More on : http://planetark.org/wen/56341

Housing planning to reduce GHG’s emission

Climate change that has happening and followed by more frequently catastropic impacts. Let say, flood and the atmosphere temperature that is getting hotter. In Jakarta and other cities in Indonesia experience this event quite oven even worse. As practical and quick solution to adapt those situations, people will try to choose living in the upstream area to avoid flood and for the hot temperature, people just turn on the aircondition button to make it cool. Is that the best solution to adapt with climate change? It would not give the long-term solution, however it will become new problems.

Almost no workplace area that no use air condition in Indonesia. And for the resident area the air condition consumption tends to increase. Air condition requires lot of energy consumption which is about 44 percent of the total building energy consumption. We can reduce the CO2 emission by environmental friendly building planning through natural ventilation and lighting. Make the wide openings that facing each other could let the wind flow in the room. Beside that, planting tree in the yard, avoid setting the bulding direction toward the west. Those are several alternatives to creat a convenience house through environmental friendly way. Besides, it also could have economic benefit due to less energy consumption in the house or building.

Kompas, 13 Jan 09

Does Obama Undermine the UN Climate Process?

Find here :...

Jeffrey D. Sachs, an Economic professor of the Earth Institute at Columbia University and also Special Adviser to UN Secretary-General on the MDG’s think that Obama has undermined the UN climate change. This statement came out because he think that Obama have not respect for the international law of UNFCCC and ignore of other 187 remaining member countries’s voice by declaring with a vague statement of principles agreed with four other countries. It is non-binding and will probably strengthen the forces of opposition to emissions reductions.

Responsibility for this disaster reaches far and wide. Let us start with George W. Bush, who ignored climate change for the eight years of his presidency, wasting the world’s precious time. Then came the UN, for managing the negotiating process so miserably during a two-year period. Then came the European Union for pushing relentlessly for a single-minded vision of a global emissions-trading system, even when such a system would not fit the rest of the world. Then came the United States Senate, which has ignored climate change for 15 consecutive years since ratifying the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change. Finally, there is Obama, who effectively abandoned a systematic course of action under the UN framework, because it was proving nettlesome to US power and domestic politics.

Further, Sachs thought that Obama has taken on a grave responsibility in history. If his action proves unworthy, if the voluntary commitments of the US and others prove insufficient, and if future negotiations are derailed, it will have been Obama who single-handedly traded in international law for big-power politics on climate change.
Aside from that, Sach’s opinion is still in controversial in US.

His tought on : http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/sachs161

CSF Reflection of COP 15: It failed....

Civil Society Forum on Climate Justice has concidered that COP 15 in Copenhagen has failed to represent the Indonesian civil society voice. The two weeks conference last December failed to achieve the Kyoto Protocol and Bali Action Plan Target where it only achieved the Copenhagen Accord and brought the world to a worst condition. The society forum expectation was much more to legally fair treaty binding. Indonesia has supported and signed for Copenhagen Accord. It was not enough effort to fight on climate change if we see the condition of Indonesia as one of the most vulnerable country due to its effect.

The most crucial issue has not been discussed in the conference. Fossil fuel as the major cause of climate change was not been discussed. Most of developed countries has used the fossil fuel and caused global climate change. It is badly needed to limit the fossil fuel usage in the future so that the atmosphere temperature will not rise to 2◦C. The scenario that has predicted by the IPCC even much worse than 2◦C, that is 3◦C. “The only one solution to prevent the temperature rise by 2◦C is do not use three-quarters of the reserves of fossil fuels” said by the Hendro Sangkoyo, one of the representative of Civil Society Forum in the COP 15. Besides that, ocean issue also not been stated in the President’s speech. It is showed the inconsistency of the Indonesian government to bring the crucial issue of Indonesia, even this issue was started been told in the WOC forum. The Civil Society forum also observed that REDD is a mean to get financial assistant.

The Civil Society Forum on Climate Change COP 15 Reflection, 28 December 2009

sb

Climate Change Rises Malaria Risk at Kenya

The Research funded by the UK government in Kenya found that raising temperature on the Slopes of Mount Kenya caused seven times more people are contracting the Malaria in outbreaks in the region than 10 years ago and have put an extra four million people at risk.

In 1989, the average temperature in the Central Highlands was 17C in 1989, with malaria completely absent from the region as the parasite which causes it can only mature above 18C.But now th eavarage is 19C. So it needs a strong and ungent action to tackle the potentially devastating impacts of climate change in Kenya.

http://www.google.com/hostednews/ukpress/article/ALeqM5hT5cEtGozeDOq3KdWKk2wmWnxAmg

Hope for a legally binding treaty next year

“While I am satisfied that we sealed a deal, I am aware that the outcome of the Copenhagen conference, including the Copenhagen Accord, did not go as far as many have hoped,”. "The leaders were united in purpose, but they were not united in action,” Mr. Ban pointed out, exhorting world leaders to act in concert to ensure that a legally binding treaty is reached next year.

More on : http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=33377&Cr=copenhagen&Cr1=